Trump touts poll showing 60% back his Iran peace deal

Trump a BIG DATA POLL survey found 60.4% of registered voters support the memorandum ending the Iran War, with the pollster crediting Trump an 8-point approval bump during June 2026.

First Published: July 20, 2026, 3:05 AM ET

WASHINGTON D.C. — Donald Trump shared a survey claiming most voters back his deal to end the Iran War in a Truth Social post on July 20, 2026 at 6:45 AM ET.

Here is the full post on truthsocial: “Trump Bump: Voters Overwhelmingly Support Iran Peace Deal. Trump Scores 8-Point Bump and Generic Ballot Tightens During June 2026. Overwhelming Support for Iran Peace Deal – June 2026. Do you support or oppose the peace deal to end the Iran War? The administration announced a peace deal to end the war with Iran. The Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) signed by the President reopened the Strait of Hormuz without tolls, began a 60-day negotiation period on the regime’s nuclear program and sanctions relief, and states Iran “shall not procure or develop nuclear weapons.” Support National 60.4% Registered Voters 23.7% 15.9% 62.2% Likely Voters 24.1% 13.6%.”

The survey came from BIG DATA POLL, a survey research firm led by pollster Rich Baris that describes itself as “the new gold standard in survey research” according to bigdatapoll.com. The poll found 60.4% of registered voters support the peace deal, against 23.7% opposed and 15.9% unsure. Among likely voters, support rose to 62.2%, with 24.1% opposed and 13.6% undecided.

The memorandum of understanding reopened the Strait of Hormuz without tolls and opened a 60-day negotiation window on the regime’s nuclear program and sanctions relief. It also declared that Iran “shall not procure or develop nuclear weapons,” the poll graphic said. The firm framed the results as evidence of an 8-point approval bump for the president during June 2026.

The stakes reach beyond one survey. A durable peace deal would benefit the administration heading into the 2026 midterm elections, while a stalled 60-day negotiation could reverse the reported gains and hand Democrats a fresh line of attack.

The upbeat June reading marks a sharp turn from earlier data. Only 39.6% of registered voters approved of the president’s job performance in April 2026, a second-term low, while 56.9% disapproved according to bigdatapoll.com. Democrats then led the generic congressional ballot among likely voters 47.7% to 37.1%, the largest lead for either party the firm had ever measured according to bigdatapoll.com.

The reversal ties directly to the war itself. Only 35.2% approved of the president’s handling of Iran in April, and nearly 8 in 10 voters said staying out of foreign conflicts was important according to bigdatapoll.com. The Direction of Country reading fell to 32.0% right track, the lowest since former President Joe Biden left office in January 2025 according to bigdatapoll.com.

For the average American, the outcome touches everyday costs. The Strait of Hormuz carries roughly a fifth of the world’s oil supply, and a stable reopening without tolls could ease pressure on gasoline and shipping prices that reach household budgets.

Has this happened before? Yes. Presidents have long promoted favorable polling to shape public perception, and Trump routinely reposts surveys from firms he views as friendly, according to ballotpedia.org, which tracks polling outfits and their track records.

The next decisive marker falls with the 60-day negotiation period on Iran’s nuclear program and sanctions relief. A firm date for the conclusion of those talks has not been announced.

Presidents leaning on Middle East diplomacy to lift their standing is not new. Jimmy Carter brokered the Camp David Accords in September 1978, and Egypt and Israel signed a treaty in March 1979 that won Carter a short-lived popularity surge, according to newsweek.com. Yet the boost faded as the Iran hostage crisis dragged on for 444 days, and Carter lost the 1980 election in a landslide, taking just 49 electoral votes.