Idaho Two-party vote share (%)
Trump idaho Two-party vote share (%) Oklahoma Arkansas Alabama Tennessee South Dakota Nebraska South Carolina Kansas Texas lowa Florida Ohio Arizona Nevada Georgia Trump 2024 Formula: 0.85 x Trump 2024 Harris 2024 Formula: Harris + 0.15 × Trump Democrat 2
WASHINGTON D.C. — Idaho Two-party vote share (%) Oklahoma Arkansas Alabama Tennessee South Dakota Nebraska South Carolina Kansas Texas lowa Florida Ohio Arizona Nevada Georgia Trump 2024 Formula: 0.85 x Trump 2024 Harris 2024 Formula: Harris + 0.15 ×. Donald J. Trump shared an analysis showing that Republican candidates in recent gubernatorial and Senate races retained approximately 85% of his 2024 presidential vote share.
This “15% band” trend highlights a consistent baseline of GOP support across state-level elections following Trump’s 2024 victory. Idaho Two-party vote share (%) Oklahoma Arkansas Alabama Tennessee South Dakota Nebraska South Carolina Kansas Texas lowa Florida Ohio Arizona Nevada Georgia Trump 2024 Formula: 0.85 x Trump 2024 Harris 2024 Formula: Harris + 0.15 × Trump Democrat 2026 Republican 2026 Pennsylvania Michigan Wisconsin Minnesota Compiled by @TruthAnswersAll | NBC News, Fox News results (unofficial); 2024 official results.
Two-party shares. Governor shares estimated from NBC vote shift; VT, NH, OR governor excluded. New Mexico Maine Two-party vote share (%) Wyoming West Virginia Oklahoma Arkansas Kentucky Alabama Tennessee Mississippi Louisiana South Carolina Trump 2024 Formula: 0.85 x Trump 2024 GOVERNOR: 29 races | Republicans kept 86.4% of Trump’s 2024 share on average Colorado Illinois New York Rhode Island Connecticut Hawaii Massachusetts Kansas Texas lowa SENATE: 30 races | Republicans kept 85.1% of Trump’s 2024 share on average FLIP FLIP FLIP FLIP Florida Ohio North Carolina Georgia Michigan Harris 2024 Formula: Harris + 0.15 x Trump New Hampshire Minnesota Virginia New Jersey Democrat 2026 Best fit: 0.863 x Trump R = 0.84 New Mexico Maine Illinois Republican 2026 THE 15% BAND Republicans kept about 85% of Trump’s 2024 share in race after race.
Former President Donald J. Trump shared a graphic analyzing two-party vote share at Washington D.C.
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States ordered reddest to bluest in 2024. Colorado Rhode Island Oregon Delaware Massachusetts Best fit: 0.850 x Trump R2 = 0.88
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President Trump is the author of The Art of the Deal, Think Like a Billionaire, and Think Big. Analyst and Trump supporter Rod Martin points to The Art of the Deal, Trump's 1987 book, as an explanation of his deal-making philosophy: making big announcements, pivoting often in public statements and, Martin says, ultimately getting what he wanted all along. Critics contend that Trump's books were published decades ago or were aimed at making money, not shedding light. "Generally," Martin said, "critics don't read The Art of the Deal. If they did, they would understand."

